Bloodshed
is not unusual in this part of the Middle East but this particular wave of
aggression -- stabbings as well as a shooting and driving into crowds -- is
very different from rocket attacks or the orchestrated suicide bombings of the
past.
The latest upsurge in violence
in Jerusalem started with two Israelis being stabbed to death by a Palestinian in the Old City -- which
was followed by a series of stabbings and other attacks.
A
particular point of contention is the Temple Mount, known to Muslims as the
Haram Al-Sharif, in the Old City.
In
an unwritten arrangement in place since Israel took control of all of Jerusalem
in 1967, Jews are not allowed to pray on the Temple Mount, where the Al-Aqsa
Mosque and Dome of the Rock are situated.
Increasingly
in recent years, hardline Jewish activists have demanded greater access to the
Temple Mount and right-wing politicians have called for rights of Jews to pray
there.
This
has sparked widespread concerns among Palestinians that the status quo is being
violated, and will end in the division of the Temple Mount.
Over
the past few years, tensions have coincided with the Jewish High Holy Days in
the autumn. This year, the holiday coincided with the Muslim's Eid-al-Adha
holiday and tensions rose even higher.
In
fact, the security situation in Jerusalem and the West Bank has been more and
more tense since 2014 whenthree Israeli teenage settlers were
kidnapped and murdered in
the West Bank by militants from Hamas.
A
few weeks later, Jewish extremists kidnapped and murdered a 17-year-old
Palestinian from East Jerusalem. This further inflamed tensions and set off
clashes in historically Arab East Jerusalem. A spate of attacks on Israeli
civilians by East Jerusalem Palestinians wracked the city later in the autumn.
On
July 31, in the West Bank, Israeli settlers burned a Palestinian house in a so-called "price-tag attack," killing an 18-month-old toddler and his
parents. On October 1, an Israeli couple were shot dead in front of their four
children near the
Palestinian city of Nablus. Israeli police have arrested a Hamas cell they
believe were behind the attack.
All
this comes against a backdrop of what many Palestinians see as unending,
humiliating Israeli occupation in place since the 1967 war when Israel
conquered all of Jerusalem, Gaza, the West Bank and the Syrian Golan Heights.
Even Israeli intelligence
officials are not blaming any of these attacks on any of the Palestinian
militant groups or factions like Islamic Jihad or Al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigades or
Hamas. Hamas has praised the attackers, but not claimed responsibility.
It
seems that many of the attackers are motivated by what they see on Facebook and
Twitter where photos and video of attacks are posted.
The
suicide bombings that were hallmark of the Second Intifada required an infrastructure -- sourcing
bombers, making and providing them with explosives and getting them into place
to carry out the attacks. Israeli forces were able to break up much of this
infrastructure by the end of that uprising.
Israel
has invested a huge amount of money in developing an intelligence network --
including collaborators and informers -- in East Jerusalem and the West Bank,
building a separation barrier (dubbed the "Apartheid Wall" by the
Palestinians) around the West Bank to stop potential suicide bombers, and
developing the Iron Dome missile defense system to intercept rockets firing out Gaza.
But,
it's easy to buy a knife in Jerusalem. Knifings are the ultimate low-tech
response to Israel's high-tech, high-cost security. They are a simple way to
accomplish the same thing the suicide bombers did: scare the hell out of
ordinary Israelis.
Ordinary Israelis are in a
state of alarm. They are taking measures for protection: there are dramatically
fewer people on the streets. Here, Israelis are reconsidering the routes they take
to work -- driving rather than taking the bus or light rail.
There
are more Israelis walking around with handguns and more people applying for
weapon licenses. Jerusalem's Mayor Nir Barkat called on licensed gun owners to
carry them. Palestinians are also scared; many more of them have died in
reprisal attacks and shootings by security forces.
But
there is bitterness and hatred, the likes of which I've never seen.
During
the Second Intifada, which ran from 2000-2005, there was a lot of fear and
mutual distrust but there was still a memory of when people did coexist going
back to the early 1990s.
For
the younger generation of Palestinians and Israelis, that's absolutely
disappeared. After the Second Intifada and three wars in Gaza all they
associate the other side with is violence.
In short, a lot of words and
not much action.
Politically,
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is under a lot of pressure to respond
more aggressively.
One
politician told him to "stop
stuttering and start acting." An
opinion poll published over the weekend found that 73% of Israelis are
dissatisfied with the government's handling of the latest wave of violence.
They want a harsher response to the attacks.
On
the Palestinian side, leader Mahmoud Abbas, now 80 years old, doesn't have a
lot of public support. He's seen as old, ineffective and soft on Israel. He has
called for de-escalation, but other Palestinian leaders don't seem willing to
follow his line.
The peace process went into
intensive care during the Second Intifada and successive U.S. presidents have
time and time again made attempts to revive it.
But
under Ariel Sharon, who was prime minister from 2001 to early 2006, and
Benjamin Netanyahu from 2009 until now, the Israeli government has been at best
lukewarm about the peace process.
The
last attempt to re-launch the peace process by U.S. Secretary of State John
Kerry in the summer of 2013 went nowhere.
A
major stumbling block is Israel's continued building of settlements in the West
Bank. Estimates by Israeli human rights group B'Tselem say there are almost
550,000 settlers living in exclusively Jewish communities in the West Bank. The
settlements are considered illegal under international law, something Israel
disputes.
Kerry has said he will travel to the
Middle East to help calm the
situation, although given the bitterness between U.S. President Barack Obama
and Netanyahu over his opposition to the Iran nuclear deal it's questionable as
to how diplomatically involved the U.S. will want to get.
It's unlikely. It's an
outburst that will probably subside.
The
Second Intifada took a huge toll on Palestinians' economy and way of life. Many
Palestinian youth are too young to remember the darkest days of the uprising --
but their parents remember it, and don't want to go through it again, even if
they resent Israel's 48-year-old occupation.
They
don't have the energy to go through years of violence and closures and arrests
and deaths and funerals. My worry is that these outbursts will become more and
more frequent. They will die down quickly but the mutual hatred will only
deepen.
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